Vendas no Varejo Capixaba ainda em queda

O volume de vendas do comércio varejista capixaba apresentou nova queda em maio comparado com abril, após leve melhora na comparação entre abril e março (0,5%), registrando variação negativa de 2,3%. Nessa comparação, o Brasil também apresentou queda de 1,0%. As séries que comparam o mês corrente com o mês anterior possuem ajuste sazonal.

A tendência de queda na comparação mensal se confirma com os recuos nas variações no volume de vendas nas comparações com o mesmo mês do ano passado (interanual) e na variação acumulada. Na comparação interanual (maio de 2015) a queda para o Espírito Santo foi de 15,2%. Para o Brasil, a queda foi de 9,0%. Nos primeiros cinco meses do ano, o comércio capixaba acumula uma retração de 10,7% em comparação com o mesmo período do ano passado. Para o Brasil, o acumulado das vendas registrou queda de 7,3%.

O desempenho negativo na comparação interanual foi influenciado, principalmente, pelas retrações nas atividades de Móveis (-41,9%) e Equipamentos e Materiais para Escritório, Informática e Comunicação (-38,6%). A dinâmica de vendas desses segmentos está diretamente associada à disponibilização de crédito, atualmente escasso. Todos os segmentos do comércio varejista apresentaram retração em relação ao mesmo mês do ano passado. A exceção foi o segmento de Artigos farmacêuticos, médicos, ortopédicos, de perfumaria e cosméticos que apresentou um pequeno crescimento de 0,5%.

No comércio varejista ampliado, que incorpora os setores de veículos, motocicletas, partes e peças, e materiais de construção, a retração das vendas no comércio capixaba foi de 20,3% na comparação com o mesmo mês do ano anterior. Entre os estados, a queda de 20,3% foi a maior do Brasil. A queda continua sendo mais influenciada pela retração nas vendas de veículos, motocicletas, partes e peças que caiu -31,9%, enquanto para os materiais de construção a retração foi de -3,4%.

Como se pode notar, a retomada nas vendas ainda é incerta, pois há uma volatilidade dos indicadores alternando meses com pequenos crescimentos e outros com quedas. Reflexo disso é mostrado quando se olha para as variações acumuladas do volume de vendas, que estão bem negativas.  A pesquisa de Intenção de Consumo das Famílias realizada no município de Vitória, divulgada pela Fecomércio-ES, mostrou que em maio de 2016, 72,4% das famílias declararam estar comprando menos que no ano passado. Apesar de a pesquisa ser apenas em um município do estado, pode-se ter uma noção do que acontece para o estado, e a intenção de consumo baixa é confirmada pela pesquisa do IBGE.

Pesquisa Mensal do Comércio – PMC – IBGE

 

Variação % volume de vendas mês/mês anterior, com ajuste sazonal

Atividades % Abr16 X Mar16 % Mai16 X Abr16
Brasil +0,5 -1,0
Espírito Santo +0,5 -2,3

Fonte: PMC/IBGE. Elaboração: Fecomércio ES.

 

 

Demais variações no volume de vendas %, sem ajuste sazonal

Atividades Variação mensal % Abr16 X Abr15 Variação acumulada no ano % (base: igual período do ano anterior) Variação % acumulada de 12 meses
Comércio – Brasil -9,0 -7,3 -6,5
Comércio – Espírito Santo -15,2 -10,7 -10,0
Combustíveis e lubrificantes -15,5 -14,5 -13,8
Hipermercados, supermercados, produtos alimentícios, bebidas e fumo -8,2 -4,4 -4,0
     Hipermercados e supermercados -8,1 -4,3 -3,9
Tecidos, vestuário e calçados -25,8 -10,5 -11,6
Móveis e eletrodomésticos -25,0 -21,1 -18,4
      Móveis -41,9 -38,4 -30,1
      Eletrodomésticos -13,6 -8,2 -9,7
Artigos farmacêuticos, médicos, ortopédicos, de perfumaria e cosméticos 0,5 2,7 1,9
Livros, jornais, revistas e papelaria -10,5 -9,0 -10,8
Equipamentos e materiais para escritório, informática e comunicação -38,6 0,7 -2,7
Outros artigos de uso pessoal e doméstico -33,7 -32,4 -27,3
Comércio Ampliado – Brasil -10,2 -9,5 -9,7
Comércio Ampliado – Espírito Santo -20,3 -18,9 -18,8
Veículos, motocicletas, partes e peças -31,9 -33,0 -32,2
Material de construção -3,4 -6,8 -8,7

Fonte: PMC/IBGE. Elaboração: Fecomércio ES.

 

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  122. Almanya’nın en iyi medyumu haluk hoca sayesinde sizlerde güven içerisinde çalışmalar yaptırabilirsiniz, 40 yıllık uzmanlık ve tecrübesi ile sizlere en iyi medyumluk hizmeti sunuyoruz.

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  124. Almanya’nın en iyi güvenilir medyumunun tüm sosyal medya hesaplarını sizlere paylaşıyoruz, güvenin ve kalitelin tek adresi olan medyum haluk hoca 40 yıllık uzmanlığı ile sizlerle.

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  128. Dünyaca ünlü medyum haluk hocayı sizlere tanıtıyoruz anlatıyoruz, Avrupanın ilk ve tek medyum hocası 40 yıllık uzmanlık ve tecrübesi ile sizlerle.

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  130. Dünyaca ünlü medyum haluk hocayı sizlere tanıtıyoruz anlatıyoruz, Avrupanın ilk ve tek medyum hocası 40 yıllık uzmanlık ve tecrübesi ile sizlerle.

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  132. Medyum haluk hoca avrupanın en güvenilir medyum hocasıdır, sizlerinde bilgiği gibi en iyi medyumu bulmak zordur, biz sizlere geldik.

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  140. Ünlülerin tercih ettiği medyum hocamıza dilediğiniz zaman ulaşabilirsiniz, medyum haluk hocamız sizlerin daimi yanında olacaktır.

  141. Birincisi güvenilir medyum hocaları bulmak olacaktır, ikinci seçenek ise en iyi medyumları bulmak olacaktır, siz hangisini seçerdiniz.

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