Banco Central piora expectativas da economia: queda de 3,5% no PIB e inflação de 6,6% em 2016

 

O Banco Central calcula que o Brasil deve ficar 3,5% mais pobre  em 2016  e conviver com uma inflação de 6,6% . A informação está no relatório trimestral de inflação, divulgado nesta quinta-feira (31). Neste cenário, o BC indicou que não deve haver uma redução dos juros, que hoje estão em 14,25% ao ano. A projeção é pior do que a divulgada no relatório anterior, em dezembro. Na época, o BC calculava um encolhimento de 1,9% da economia e inflação de 6,2%.

Esta é a primeira vez que o Banco Central reconhece que a inflação de 2016 vai estourar o teto da meta de 4,5% ao ano, mas com tolerância de dois pontos percentuais para cima ou para baixo (na prática, variando entre 2,5% e 6,5%).

A piora para a projeção do PIB foi muito expressiva, de 1,6 ponto percentual. Ou seja, em vez da queda de 1,9% na atividade econômica prevista no relatório anterior, de dezembro, o Copom agora prevê uma contração de 3,5%. Em 2015, a economia registrou um tombo de 3,8%.

Para 2017, a projeção do BC é de que a inflação chegue a 4,9%, também pior do que a expectativa anterior, de 4,8%. O BC mostrou ainda que vê a inflação a 4,5% no primeiro trimestre de 2018.

Ainda segundo estimativa do BC, o dólar deve fechar este ano em R$ 3,70, projeção menor que de dezembro, de R$ 3,90.

Entre os problemas destacados pelo BC no âmbito doméstico, o relatório ressalta a intensificação das “incertezas oriundas do efeito de eventos não econômicos”. “Entretanto, para o Comitê, depois de um período necessário de ajustes, que se tem mostrado mais intenso e mais longo que o antecipado, à medida que a confiança de firmas e famílias se fortaleça, o ritmo de atividade tende a se intensificar”, diz o documento.

O Copom destaca também que a alta inflação reduz o poder de compra, afetando negativamente a confiança e o consumo das famílias. “Por conseguinte, taxas de inflação elevadas reduzem o potencial de crescimento da economia, bem como o de geração de empregos e de renda.”

 

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  248. {Tôi đã hạnh phúc hơn cả vui khám phá trang web tuyệt vời này. Tôi muốn cảm ơn bạn {vì đã|dành thời gian cho|chỉ vì điều này|vì điều này|cho bài đọc tuyệt vời này!! Tôi chắc chắn đánh giá cao từng một chút nó và tôi cũng đã đã đánh dấu trang để xem thông tin mới trên trang web của bạn.|Tôi có thể chỉ nói rằng thật thoải mái để khám phá một người mà thực sự hiểu họ là gì thảo luận trực tuyến. Bạn chắc chắn nhận ra cách đưa một vấn đề ra ánh sáng và làm cho nó trở nên quan trọng. Nhiều người hơn nữa cần xem điều này và hiểu khía cạnh này của. Tôi đã ngạc nhiên bạn không nổi tiếng hơn vì bạn chắc chắn sở hữu món quà.|Xuất sắc bài viết. Tôi hoàn toàn yêu thích trang web này. Tiếp tục viết!|Thật khó tìm những người hiểu biết về điều này, tuy nhiên, bạn nghe có vẻ bạn biết mình đang nói gì! Cảm ơn|Bạn nên tham gia một cuộc thi dành cho một blog trực tuyến tuyệt vời nhất. Tôi sẽ Rất khuyến nghị blog này!|Một hấp dẫn đáng giá bình luận. Tôi nghĩ rằng bạn nên viết thêm về chủ đề này, nó có thể không là một điều cấm kỵ vấn đề nhưng thường xuyên mọi người không nói về vấn đề như vậy. Đến phần tiếp theo! Chúc mọi điều tốt đẹp nhất.|Xin chào! Tôi chỉ muốn đề nghị rất cho thông tin xuất sắc bạn có ngay tại đây trên bài đăng này. Tôi đang trở lại blog của bạn để biết thêm thông tin sớm nhất.|Sau khi tôi ban đầu để lại bình luận tôi có vẻ như đã nhấp vào hộp kiểm -Thông báo cho tôi khi có bình luận mới- và bây giờ bất cứ khi nào có bình luận được thêm vào tôi nhận được bốn email cùng chính xác một bình luận. Có lẽ có một cách bạn có thể xóa tôi khỏi dịch vụ đó không? Cảm ơn bạn.|Lần sau Tôi đọc một blog, Tôi hy vọng rằng nó không thất bại nhiều như bài này. Rốt cuộc, Vâng, đó là sự lựa chọn của tôi để đọc, tuy nhiên tôi thực sự tin bạn sẽ có điều gì đó hữu ích để nói về. Tất cả những gì tôi nghe được là một loạt rên rỉ về điều gì đó mà bạn có thể sửa nếu bạn không quá bận tìm kiếm sự chú ý.|Đúng với bài viết này, tôi thực sự tin trang web này cần nhiều hơn nữa sự chú ý.

  249. {Tôi đã háo hức khám phá trang web này. Tôi cần cảm ơn bạn {vì đã|dành thời gian cho|chỉ vì điều này|vì điều này|cho bài đọc tuyệt vời này!! Tôi chắc chắn thưởng thức từng của nó và tôi đã lưu làm mục ưa thích để xem điều mới trong blog của bạn.|Tôi có thể chỉ nói rằng thật thoải mái để khám phá một người mà thực sự hiểu họ là gì đang nói về trên internet. Bạn chắc chắn hiểu cách đưa một vấn đề ra ánh sáng và làm cho nó trở nên quan trọng. Nhiều người hơn phải kiểm tra điều này và hiểu khía cạnh này của. Tôi đã ngạc nhiên rằng bạn không nổi tiếng hơn vì bạn chắc chắn có món quà.|Xuất sắc bài viết. Tôi hoàn toàn yêu thích trang web này. Tiếp tục viết!|Thật khó tìm những người có hiểu biết sâu rộng về điều này, nhưng bạn nghe có vẻ bạn biết mình đang nói gì! Cảm ơn|Bạn cần tham gia một cuộc thi dành cho một trang web trên mạng tốt nhất. Tôi sẽ khuyến nghị trang web này!|Một động lực đáng giá bình luận. Tôi tin rằng bạn nên xuất bản thêm về chủ đề này, nó có thể không là một điều cấm kỵ vấn đề nhưng thường xuyên mọi người không nói về chủ đề như vậy. Đến phần tiếp theo! Cảm ơn rất nhiều!|Chào bạn! Tôi chỉ muốn đề nghị rất cho thông tin xuất sắc bạn có ở đây trên bài đăng này. Tôi đang quay lại blog của bạn để biết thêm thông tin sớm nhất.|Khi tôi ban đầu để lại bình luận tôi có vẻ như đã nhấp hộp kiểm -Thông báo cho tôi khi có bình luận mới- và bây giờ mỗi lần được thêm vào tôi nhận được bốn email có cùng nội dung. Có lẽ có một cách bạn có thể xóa tôi khỏi dịch vụ đó không? Cảm ơn rất nhiều.|Lần sau Tôi đọc một blog, Hy vọng rằng nó không thất bại nhiều như bài này. Ý tôi là, Vâng, đó là sự lựa chọn của tôi để đọc, nhưng tôi thực sự nghĩ bạn sẽ có điều gì đó thú vị để nói. Tất cả những gì tôi nghe được là một loạt khóc lóc về điều gì đó mà bạn có thể sửa nếu bạn không quá bận tìm kiếm sự chú ý.|Đúng với bài viết này, tôi nghiêm túc cảm thấy trang web tuyệt vời này cần nhiều hơn nữa sự chú ý.

  250. Truly appreciated reading this article. It’s very articulate and packed with useful information. Many thanks for sharing this.

  251. {Tôi đã háo hức khám phá trang web tuyệt vời này. Tôi cần cảm ơn bạn {vì đã|dành thời gian cho|chỉ vì điều này|vì điều này|cho bài đọc tuyệt vời này!! Tôi chắc chắn thích thú từng một chút nó và tôi đã đã đánh dấu trang để xem điều mới trong trang web của bạn.|Tôi có thể chỉ nói rằng thật nhẹ nhõm để khám phá một người mà thực sự hiểu họ là gì đang nói về trên internet. Bạn chắc chắn hiểu cách đưa một rắc rối ra ánh sáng và làm cho nó trở nên quan trọng. Nhiều người hơn nữa phải đọc điều này và hiểu khía cạnh này của. Thật ngạc nhiên bạn không nổi tiếng hơn cho rằng bạn chắc chắn có món quà.|Rất hay bài viết. Tôi chắc chắn đánh giá cao trang web này. Tiếp tục viết!|Thật gần như không thể tìm thấy những người hiểu biết cho điều này, nhưng bạn nghe có vẻ bạn biết mình đang nói gì! Cảm ơn|Bạn nên là một phần của một cuộc thi dành cho một blog trên web tốt nhất. Tôi sẽ Rất khuyến nghị trang web này!|Một hấp dẫn đáng giá bình luận. Tôi nghĩ rằng bạn cần xuất bản thêm về chủ đề này, nó có thể không là một điều cấm kỵ chủ đề nhưng nói chung mọi người không nói về vấn đề như vậy. Đến phần tiếp theo! Chúc mừng.|Chào bạn! Tôi chỉ muốn cho bạn một rất to cho thông tin tuyệt vời bạn có ngay tại đây trên bài đăng này. Tôi đang trở lại blog của bạn để biết thêm thông tin sớm nhất.|Sau khi tôi ban đầu bình luận tôi có vẻ như đã nhấp hộp kiểm -Thông báo cho tôi khi có bình luận mới- và bây giờ bất cứ khi nào có bình luận được thêm vào tôi nhận được 4 email cùng chính xác một bình luận. Có lẽ có một phương tiện bạn có thể xóa tôi khỏi dịch vụ đó không? Kudos.|Lần sau Tôi đọc một blog, Tôi hy vọng rằng nó không thất bại nhiều như bài này. Ý tôi là, Tôi biết điều đó là sự lựa chọn của tôi để đọc, dù sao thì tôi thực sự nghĩ bạn sẽ có điều gì đó hữu ích để nói. Tất cả những gì tôi nghe được là một loạt tiếng rên rỉ về điều gì đó mà bạn có thể sửa nếu bạn không quá bận tìm kiếm sự chú ý.|Đúng với bài viết này, tôi thành thật tin rằng trang web tuyệt vời này cần nhiều hơn nữa sự chú ý.

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