O setor de serviços fechou 2016 com queda acumulada de 5% em relação a 2015 – a maior da série histórica, iniciada em 2012. Esta é a segunda queda consecutiva, tendo em vista que em 2015 o setor já havia fechado com retração de 3,6%.
Os dados fazem parte da Pesquisa Mensal de Serviços e foram divulgados nesta quarta (15) pelo Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE). Eles mostram que, em dezembro do ano passado, no entanto, o setor fechou com crescimento de 0,6% em relação a novembro (série livre de influências sazonais).
O crescimento de dezembro de 2016 foi o segundo consecutivo, tendo em vista que em novembro, ainda na série dessazonalizada, o setor havia registrado pequeno crescimento: 0,2%.
Em relação a dezembro de 2015, o setor registrou queda de 5,7%, a maior para o mês de dezembro nessa comparação desde o início da série em 2012.
Os dados do IBGE indicam que a receita nominal registrou variação de 0,5% em dezembro, frente a novembro, na série com ajuste sazonal. Na comparação com o mesmo mês do ano anterior, houve queda de 1,5%. No resultado acumulado de 2016, o setor de serviços fechou negativo em 0,1%.
Na avaliação do Técnico da Coordenação de Serviços e Comércio do IBGE, Roberto Saldanha, a queda acumulada no setor nada mais é do que o reflexo da retração da atividade econômica como um todo, e da industrial em particular.
Para ele, a recuperação do setor só acontecerá com uma recuperação segura e contínua da economia. Saldanha avalia que a retração do ano passado reflete o desaquecimento da atividade econômica, de um modo geral e, em particular, a restrição orçamentária dos governos.
“Com os governos investindo menos, há menor contratação dos serviços, menos investimentos por parte dos governos e por extensão também das empresas. E o setor de serviços é o reflexo do desaquecimento das atividades econômicas de uma maneira geral e da redução dos gastos dos governos em todos os níveis – federal, estadual e municipal”.
No entendimento do técnico do IBGE, quando a economia entra em um processo de recessão é exatamente o setor de serviços o último a sentir. “Ele é o último a sentir a retração econômica, mas também é o último a se recuperar, porque depende essencialmente dos outros setores da economia”, disse Saldanha.
Influências
A queda no setor de serviços em 2016 teve forte influência da área de transportes, serviços auxiliares e correio, que chegou a retrair no ano passado (-7,6%), com destaque para o transporte terrestre, com -10,4%.
A retração do transporte está ligada ao comportamento negativo da economia brasileira, principalmente no que diz respeito à indústria, que mais demanda o serviço, tanto para o consumo de matérias-primas quanto para a distribuição da produção, afirmam os economistas do IBGE.
“Nesse aspecto, é importante ressaltar a forte dependência do transporte de cargas (rodoviário, ferroviário e dutoviário) em relação ao setor industrial”. Por isso, o IBGE avalia que “a recuperação dessa atividade vai depender da recuperação do setor industrial”.
Regiões
A queda de 5,7% no setor de serviços em dezembro de 2016, frente a dezembro de 2015, reflete resultados negativos em todas as unidades da Federação, sendo que as maiores variações foram registradas em Mato Grosso (-33,1%), Rondônia (-19,6%) e Tocantins (-18,5%).
Também fecharam com resultados negativos o Distrito Federal (-13,6%), Ceará (-10,9%), Rio de Janeiro (-7,3%), Espírito Santo (-5,8%), Minas Gerais (-5,2%), a Bahia (-2,4%), o Paraná (-2%) e Santa Catarina (-1,5%).
Ainda na comparação com dezembro de 2015, série sem ajuste sazonal, fecharam com variações positivas Goiás, onde o crescimento chegou a 13,9%; Pernambuco (8,2%); São Paulo (7,3%); e o Rio Grande do Sul (1,4%).
Fonte: Agência Brasil
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In these days of austerity as well as relative panic about taking on debt, lots of people balk contrary to the idea of having a credit card in order to make purchase of merchandise as well as pay for a vacation, preferring, instead just to rely on the actual tried and also trusted means of making settlement – hard cash. However, if you possess the cash on hand to make the purchase fully, then, paradoxically, this is the best time for you to use the cards for several good reasons.
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One thing I have actually noticed is there are plenty of common myths regarding the lenders intentions whenever talking about home foreclosure. One delusion in particular would be the fact the bank wants your house. The bank wants your money, not your house. They want the funds they gave you with interest. Averting the bank will undoubtedly draw any foreclosed conclusion. Thanks for your post.
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