O mercado financeiro reduziu, pela terceira vez consecutiva, a projeção para a inflação este ano. A estimativa para o Índice Nacional de Preços ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA) passou de 4,15% para 4,12%, de acordo com o boletim Focus, uma publicação elaborada todas as semanas pelo Banco Central (BC), e divulgada às segundas-feiras.
A projeção para a inflação este ano está abaixo do centro da meta, que é 4,5%. A meta tem ainda limite inferior de 3% e superior de 6%. Para 2018, a projeção segue em 4,5%.
A previsão de instituições financeiras para o crescimento da economia (Produto Interno Bruto – PIB, soma de todas as riquezas produzidas pelo país) este ano foi ajustada de 0,48% para 0,47%. Para o próximo ano, a estimativa foi mantida em 2,5%.
Selic deve fechar ano em 9%
Para o mercado financeiro, a taxa Selic encerrará 2017 em 9% ao ano. Para o final de 2018, a expectativa permanece em 8,50% ao ano. Atualmente, a Selic está em 12,25% ao ano. A Selic é um dos instrumentos usados para influenciar a atividade econômica e a inflação.
Quando o Copom aumenta a Selic, a meta é conter a demanda aquecida, e isso gera reflexos nos preços, porque juros mais altos encarecem o crédito e estimulam a poupança. Quando o Copom diminui os juros básicos, a tendência é que o crédito fique mais barato, com incentivo à produção e ao consumo, reduzindo o controle sobre a inflação.
Fonte: Agência Brasil
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